Солнечная энергетика

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Международное энергетическое агентство (МЭА) прогнозирует, что к 2024 году во всем мире будет добавлено дополнительно 1200 гигаватт возобновляемой энергии, что эквивалентно текущей общей генерирующей мощности Соединенных Штатов. Согласно отчету, выработка электроэнергии из возобновляемых источников в ближайшие пять лет вырастет на 50%, чему способствует резкое увеличение количества солнечных батарей на зданиях.

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Однако агентство предупредило, что рост все еще остается значительно ниже того, что необходимо для достижения глобальных целей в области устойчивой энергетики.

В докладе прогнозируется, что сокращение расходов и «согласованные усилия правительства» будут способствовать увеличению количества солнечных фотоэлектрических систем, на которые будет приходиться 60 процентов дополнительной возобновляемой мощности.

«Возобновляемые источники энергии уже являются вторым по величине источником электроэнергии в мире, но их развертывание все еще необходимо ускорить, если мы хотим достичь долгосрочных целей в области климата, качества воздуха и доступа к энергии», — сказал д-р Фатих Бироль, исполнительный директор МЭА.

«Поскольку затраты продолжают падать, у нас появляется все больше стимулов для ускорения развертывания солнечных фотоэлектрических систем».

Исследование МЭА сфокусировано на распределенных фотоэлектрических элементах — солнечных панелях, размещаемых в домах, офисах и других зданиях, а не в крупных, специально построенных местах.

По словам МЭА, это составит половину дополнительной солнечной мощности, созданной в ближайшие пять лет.

Три четверти новых распределенных фотоэлектрических систем должны поступать от установок на промышленных зданиях, отчасти потому, что экономия на масштабе позволяет сэкономить на счетах за электроэнергию больше, чем домовладельцы могут ожидать, установив небольшое количество солнечных батарей.

Стоимость производства электроэнергии из распределенных солнечных фотоэлектрических систем уже ниже розничных цен на электроэнергию в большинстве стран, и МЭА прогнозирует дальнейшее снижение на 15–35% к 2024 году.

Тем не менее, авторы доклада предупредили политиков, что розничные тарифы на электроэнергию должны быть реформированы, чтобы привлечь больше инвестиций в распределенную фотоэлектрическую систему при справедливом распределении затрат между потребителями.

«Потенциал распределенного фотоэлектрического оборудования захватывает дух, но его развитие должно быть хорошо управляемым, чтобы сбалансировать различные интересы владельцев фотоэлектрических систем, других потребителей и энергетических и распределительных компаний», — сказал д-р Бирол.

«МЭА готово консультировать правительства о том, что необходимо для того, чтобы в полной мере воспользоваться этой быстро развивающейся технологией, не ставя под угрозу безопасность электроэнергии».